TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Fagiano Okayama
Volume:
$90,065
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Japan J1 League soccer match between Shimizu S-Pulse and Fagiano Okayama scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets on Polymarket ask about individual outcomes (Shimizu win, Fagiano win, draw), while Kalshi offers a single market covering all three possible outcomes. Both platforms resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical resolution scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and primary source (official J1 League statistics), with consistent handling of postponement and cancellation scenarios.
Primary resolution logic:
Official J1 League statistics (https://www.jleague.jp/en/); consensus of credible reporting if official stats not published within 2 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Match resolves based on result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
- Polymarket: Shimizu win resolves Yes if Shimizu scores more goals; Fagiano win resolves Yes if Fagiano scores more goals; Draw resolves Yes if teams have equal goals
- Kalshi: Single market resolves Yes for any outcome (Shimizu win, Fagiano win, or tie)
- If match is postponed, markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Polymarket win markets resolve No and draw resolves Yes; Kalshi resolves Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Both platforms keep markets open until the rescheduled match is played and completed
- Match Cancellation Without Makeup: Polymarket: individual win markets resolve No, draw resolves Yes. Kalshi: resolves Yes (tie outcome)
- Official Stats Delay: If J1 League does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources
- Extra Time or Penalties: Not included in resolution; only 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official J1 League statistics are published (or within 2 hours via credible reporting consensus if official stats delayed)Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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