TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 12:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Sunday, July 12, 2026 between Shanghai Haigang FC and Dalian Yingbo FC.
This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Sunday, July 12, 2026 between Shanghai Haigang FC and Dalian Yingbo FC.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by traders seeking to profit on their forecasts. This market may show a different implied probability than traditional sports betting sites, especially if one venue attracts more informed or contrarian participants. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader market sees value or where consensus breaks down.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on buy and sell pressure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the latest trades, with each share purchase or sale moving the price incrementally. Liquidity depth determines how much the price shifts per trade, so higher volume typically means tighter spreads and more stable pricing. You can enter or exit positions at any time before resolution, with your execution price determined by the current pool state.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the final score and official match result as confirmed by the relevant sports authorities. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing the platform to settle all positions promptly.
Team news such as injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical announcements can shift market sentiment significantly. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage are factors traders monitor closely. Weather conditions on match day, last-minute roster updates, or coaching decisions may trigger repricing in the final hours. Social media sentiment, expert analysis, and betting syndicate activity can also influence trader behavior, causing the implied probability to swing as new information emerges.