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404,744
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Closed: Sep 20, 5:21 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Seattle vs Arizona football match, both teams need to put points on the board in every quarter of regulation play. Any scoring method counts towards this requirement, with overtime points specifically excluded from counting for the fourth quarter.
If Seattle and Arizona both score points in every quarter of regulation of the Seattle vs Arizona Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis and insights. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. These discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price differences between the two types of markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the likelihood of both the Seahawks and Cardinals scoring in every quarter. The price of a 'Yes' contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, while a 'No' contract reflects the probability of it not happening. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price dynamically adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. This creates a real-time assessment of the potential scoring dynamics of the game.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on official game statistics confirming whether both the Seahawks and the Cardinals score at least once in each quarter of the game. The final score will be the determining factor, and the market will settle based on whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome accurately reflects the game's scoring pattern. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries to either team’s offense, particularly quarterbacks or wide receivers, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect scoring expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding team morale or preparation could influence traders’ beliefs and shift the price of contracts.