TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of the fourth quarter in an upcoming football game between two teams. Specifically, it assesses whether one team will win that quarter by a certain margin of points. Only points scored during the final quarter count toward the result.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter of play, with overtime excluded. Each market has a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team to resolve as 'Yes'. If the Seattle Seahawks win the quarter by more than the specified margin—ranging from 1.5 to 10.5 points—the corresponding 'SEA Seahawks wins 4Q by over X points' market resolves to 'Yes'. Conversely, if the Arizona Cardinals win the quarter by more than the specified margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the corresponding 'ARI Cardinals wins 4Q by over X points' market resolves to 'Yes'. If neither team meets their respective threshold, all markets resolve to 'No'. The original game date of September 20, 2026, is the scheduled contest for evaluation.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe the Seahawks will cover the spread, the price will move in that direction, potentially diverging from what sportsbooks are offering. It’s a useful exercise to compare the two and see where the discrepancies lie, as they can indicate potential value.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the 4th quarter of the Seahawks versus Cardinals game will be used to determine which contracts payout. The official NFL results will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to see their positions settled based on the final score differential.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Seahawks or the Cardinals would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game events, such as early scoring drives or turnovers, will undoubtedly influence trading activity and the price of contracts, as traders react to the unfolding action and adjust their predictions.