TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 1:13 PM EST
Limitless
This event group concerns the upcoming football match between Schalke 04 and Real Madrid, focusing specifically on which team will score the first goal.
In the upcoming match between Schalke 04 and Real Madrid, scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Schalke 04" if Schalke 04 are the first to score in the match (regardless of format). This market will resolve to "Real Madrid" if Real Madrid are the first to score in the match (regardless of format). If neither team scores in the match (regardless of format), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market considers goals scored at any point in the match, regardless of format (e.g. two halves totaling 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or four periods totaling 120 minutes). The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for August 8, 2026, 15:00 UTC. If the match is canceled within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, this market will resolve based on the official data recorded at the time of cancellation. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than October 7, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds on this market often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their odds based on proprietary models and may include adjustments for liabilities, prediction markets let traders bet directly on their beliefs, creating prices that can be more volatile and community-driven. For instance, if traders believe Schalke has a strong chance to score first, market odds may shift sharply in their favor, potentially offering better or worse value than standard sportsbook lines depending on recent momentum and public sentiment.
Price differences between Polymarket and Limitless can arise from variations in user bases, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more European fans who favor Real Madrid, skewing its odds, while another could see higher engagement from global users with different views. Additionally, each venue may have unique market mechanics or fee structures that influence how traders place bets, leading to divergent probabilities even when both are pricing the same outcome.