TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:50 PM EST
Kalshi
The game between San Francisco and Los Angeles D features two teams competing in a professional baseball match scheduled for September 20, 2026. The outcome depends on whether the game lasts long enough to require additional playing periods beyond the standard nine innings. This can happen when the score is tied after the ninth inning, leading to extra innings.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the San Francisco vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting biases or promotional considerations into their lines. This market, like others, can sometimes offer different probabilities than those found at traditional sportsbooks, as traders weigh information and make independent assessments. Discrepancies can arise due to varying information sources and analytical approaches, offering opportunities for arbitrage or informed betting based on differing viewpoints.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, signifying growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure liquidity and facilitate trading, allowing participants to adjust their positions based on new information or evolving perspectives on the game. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Francisco vs Los Angeles game, including any extra innings played to determine a winner. The platform will utilize publicly available sources to verify the final score and declare the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, starting pitcher announcements, or changes in weather conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance by either team in preceding games, or even significant media coverage influencing public perception, could also cause shifts in trading activity. Major strategic decisions announced by either team’s management, or even late-breaking news about field conditions, could all contribute to movement in this market before it resolves.