TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a professional baseball game scheduled between two teams. The outcome depends on whether the game extends beyond the standard nine innings. If the game goes into additional innings, a specific condition is met.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the San Diego vs Colorado professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of extra innings, they can express that view by trading in this market. This can lead to odds that are more accurate, or at least represent a broader range of opinions, than those found at sportsbooks. It’s a different way to assess probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether extra innings were played in the San Diego vs Colorado game originally scheduled for September 16, 2026. Official game results from a trusted sports data source will be used to determine if extra innings occurred. The market will then settle, and contract holders will receive payouts based on the final outcome. It’s important to monitor the game’s progress leading up to the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding potential pitching changes for either the San Diego or Colorado teams, particularly if a starting pitcher is known to struggle with consistency, could shift expectations. Weather forecasts predicting rain or strong winds could also impact the game and influence trading. Furthermore, injuries to key players on either team, especially those known for their hitting or pitching in clutch situations, could significantly move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of a close game and potential extra innings will likely affect trading volume and contract prices.