TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-17 19:10 UTC: If the San Diego Padres win, the market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". If the Colorado Rockies win, the market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-17 19:10 UTC: If the San Diego Padres win, the market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". If the Colorado Rockies win, the market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of true probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, the wisdom of the crowd on Opinion can lead to odds that diverge as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe the Padres will win, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will rise, and vice-versa for the Rockies. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated intelligence of the market participants, constantly adjusting as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Padres-Rockies game, as officially recorded, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential delays or changes to the game schedule will be factored into the resolution timeline, ensuring a fair and accurate assessment of the result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Padres or Rockies would likely cause shifts in the odds. Starting pitcher announcements also have a substantial impact, as the quality of the pitching matchup is a major determinant in baseball games. Unexpected weather forecasts affecting the game conditions could also move the market, as could significant changes in team performance leading up to the game. Public sentiment, reflected in betting trends, will also play a role in shaping the price action.