TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 8:39 AM EST
Kalshi
A Korea Baseball Organization (KBO) regular season game between the Samsung Lions and NC Dinos scheduled for July 1, 2026. The outcome will be determined by which team wins the matchup.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Samsung Lions vs NC Dinos KBO game scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, markets resolve to a fair price per official rules. In the event of a tie, all markets resolve 50/50.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market's odds may lead or lag traditional sportsbook lines depending on which venue receives information faster or attracts sharper bettors. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where informed traders see value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome contract reflects the collective probability estimate of all active traders at any given moment. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, buyers and sellers adjust their bids and asks, causing prices to move in real time. Higher prices indicate stronger belief in that outcome occurring.
This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, once the Samsung Lions versus NC Dinos game concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the final score and official game result reported by the relevant sports authorities. Until that point, traders can adjust positions as new developments unfold, including team news, injury reports, and other factors that may influence expectations heading into the matchup.
Key injuries, roster changes, or lineup announcements for either team could shift trader sentiment significantly. Recent form, head-to-head records, and performance trends leading up to the game often trigger price movements as new data becomes available. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any last-minute coaching decisions may also influence how traders reassess the probability of each outcome. Breaking news about player availability or team strategy typically generates the most volatile trading activity in the days before kickoff.