TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 9:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Murphy Cassone and Patrick Zahraj in the Saint Tropez, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Murphy Cassone' if Murphy Cassone advances against Patrick Zahraj. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Zahraj' if Patrick Zahraj advances against Murphy Cassone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Murphy Cassone and Patrick Zahraj in the Saint Tropez, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Murphy Cassone' if Murphy Cassone advances against Patrick Zahraj. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Zahraj' if Patrick Zahraj advances against Murphy Cassone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individual traders’ beliefs and information. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public perception and potential value opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates the market’s aggregated view of the likelihood of each competitor winning.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Murphy Cassone vs Patrick Zahraj match as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 28, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or any unexpected developments related to either Murphy Cassone or Patrick Zahraj could significantly shift the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also impact trader confidence and lead to price fluctuations in this market.