TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip
Chalre Chalre Waal | Female Version | Tu Sanwal Phul Kasturi | Trending Songs 2026 @kunwarbrar
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. Participants speculate on the popularity and viewership trends of various music videos over a single day, reflecting real-time audience engagement and digital content performance.
Kalshi
The event determines whether any of the listed music videos ranks #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for October 9, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and resolution depends solely on that video's position on the specified chart for the given date. All markets operate independently; the outcome for one does not affect others. YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube are used descriptively without implying affiliation or endorsement. The focus is strictly on chart rankings, with no consideration of other performance metrics or external factors.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Currently, analysts are divided on which music video will achieve the runner-up position, with no clear consensus emerging. This market allows traders to express their own views, potentially identifying discrepancies between expert predictions and the wisdom of the crowd. Significant differences between the two could indicate that the market is factoring in information not yet considered by analysts, or vice versa, offering a unique perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders submit bids and offers for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Contract prices fluctuate based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. Traders can buy contracts to bet on an outcome or sell contracts to express a belief that it is less likely to happen, dynamically adjusting the probabilities reflected in the market prices.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the runner-up daily music video on YouTube as determined by official YouTube statistics will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on publicly available data and will be verified to ensure accuracy and transparency. This resolution process ensures a fair and objective determination of the market's outcome based on the established criteria for the event.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Unexpected viral trends, major artist announcements, or shifts in YouTube's algorithm could all influence the popularity of different music videos. Positive or negative press coverage surrounding specific artists or videos could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any unforeseen events affecting the release schedule of competing videos could alter market dynamics. Traders will closely monitor these factors and adjust their positions accordingly, leading to potential price fluctuations in this market.
