TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Chalre Chalre Waal | Female Version | Tu Sanwal Phul Kasturi | Trending Songs 2026 @kunwarbrar
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. Participants can speculate on the popularity and reach of various music videos, reflecting viewer trends and engagement across different genres and artists.
Kalshi
The event determines the runner-up position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for October 8, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and resolution depends on that video's ranking. If the designated video ranks exactly #2 on the specified chart date, the associated market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets operate independently, with no cumulative or interdependent effects. Secondary rules clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by YouTube.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts, as predicting music video performance is often based on subjective factors and streaming data that isn't always publicly available. However, the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi can often provide a different perspective than individual expert opinions. If analysts were to publish predictions, we might see a divergence or convergence with the probabilities reflected in this market, potentially highlighting overlooked factors or biases in either approach. The market represents a forward-looking assessment of likelihood.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information or shifts in sentiment regarding the potential runner-up music video.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated October 8, 2026, identifying the video that ranks as the runner-up. The outcome will be determined by the publicly available ranking on that chart, ensuring transparency and objectivity in the resolution process. Traders should monitor the chart's release to understand the final result of this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 22, 2026. Unexpected viral trends on platforms like TikTok or Instagram could boost a video's popularity, increasing its chances of ranking highly. Major promotional campaigns by record labels or artists, or even unexpected collaborations, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, news events or controversies surrounding artists could influence viewership and, consequently, the market. Any substantial change in streaming numbers or social media engagement for potential contenders would likely be reflected in the trading activity on Kalshi.
