TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip
Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity trends in the music video space, capturing how different songs and artists compete for audience attention on a major streaming platform.
Kalshi
The event determines the runner-up position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for October 6, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video entry, with resolution contingent upon that entry ranking exactly #2 on the specified chart for the stated date. All markets operate independently; only the market matching the actual #2 video will resolve positively, while all others resolve negatively. Disclaimers clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation between the platform and the event organizers.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts, as predicting music video chart performance is highly subjective and often relies on qualitative assessments. However, if analysts were to predict the probability of a video reaching the runner-up position, their estimates could be compared to the implied probabilities reflected in the prices on Kalshi. Discrepancies between market prices and analyst opinions could present potential opportunities for informed traders. It's important to remember that this market reflects the collective wisdom of participants, while analyst forecasts represent individual opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated October 6, 2026, determining which video ranks as the runner-up. The market will settle to 100 if the predicted video is the runner-up, and 0 otherwise. The final result will be based on publicly available data from YouTube Charts, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Unexpected viral trends, major marketing campaigns by artists, or even controversies surrounding a particular music video could all shift public attention and affect chart performance. The release of highly anticipated music videos from competing artists in the days leading up to October 6, 2026, would also be a key catalyst. Any news regarding changes to YouTube’s charting methodology could also move the market, as could significant shifts in overall YouTube viewership patterns.
