TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Ashke (Music Video) Karan Aujla | Mxrci | Aujla Szn 1
Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. Participants can speculate on whether any of the listed songs will secure this runner-up spot, reflecting viewer engagement and popularity trends.
Kalshi
The event determines the runner-up position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for October 5, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by YouTube. The outcome is solely based on YouTube's publicly available chart data for the specified date.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective wisdom versus expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional polls or expert predictions, potentially incorporating a wider range of information and anticipating unforeseen factors. While analysts may focus on established artists or trends, the market can quickly adjust to new information and reflect the views of a diverse group of participants. It's a fascinating way to gauge public sentiment and see how it differs from conventional wisdom regarding the daily music video landscape.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely winner. The current price indicates the market’s collective assessment of the chances of each music video achieving the runner-up position.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official YouTube statistics for the daily music video that achieves the runner-up position in global views. The data will be sourced from publicly available information and verified to ensure accuracy. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome for this market, based on verifiable data points.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Unexpected viral trends, major artist endorsements, or controversies surrounding specific music videos could all impact trading activity. A sudden surge in views for a previously overlooked video, or negative publicity surrounding a frontrunner, could lead to rapid shifts in the odds. Additionally, any news related to YouTube’s algorithm or promotional efforts could influence the visibility of different videos and, consequently, the market’s predictions. Monitoring social media and music news will be key to understanding potential catalysts.
