TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Ramayana: Mangal Rang (Song) | Namit M, Nitesh T | AR Rahman, Arijit Singh, Shreya Ghoshal, Kumar V
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip
GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION]
Veezha Veera (From "OM Chapter 1: Udhiram - The Blood Wood") [Hindi]
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. Each market focuses on a different song or artist, with the outcome determined by YouTube's publicly available rankings.
Kalshi
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified music video ranks exactly #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for the date of October 28, 2026. All markets are independent and contingent solely on YouTube's official chart ranking for that date. None of these markets or products are endorsed by YouTube; references to YouTube are used descriptively and do not imply any affiliation or endorsement between YouTube and the event organizer. The resolution depends exclusively on YouTube's published chart data, with no consideration for tiebreakers or subjective interpretations.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional polls or analyst predictions, potentially incorporating a wider range of factors and real-time information. It's important to remember that analysts may have biases or limited data, while this market reflects the aggregated views of many participants. Discrepancies can highlight overlooked variables or differing interpretations of available data, offering a more nuanced understanding of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, indicates the volume of contracts available at various price points, providing insight into the strength of conviction behind each outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by identifying the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated October 28, 2026. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from YouTube charts and verified against credible public sources. The final price of the contracts will reflect the actual outcome of the event.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Unexpected viral trends for emerging artists, major promotional campaigns by record labels, or even significant shifts in YouTube's algorithm could all influence the ranking of music videos. News regarding artist collaborations, album releases, or music video premieres could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any controversies surrounding artists or their music could also move the market as traders react to changing perceptions and potential impacts on viewership. Monitoring these factors can provide valuable insights into potential market movements.
