TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
So Swaezy | Yo Yo Honey Singh | Hommie Dilliwaala | Full Song
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip
GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION]
Veera Veera (From "OM Chapter 1: Udhiram - The Blood Wood") [Hindi]
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity trends in the music video landscape, showcasing how different tracks compete for audience attention on a major streaming platform.
Kalshi
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for October 26, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. All markets share the same resolution date and chart source. The secondary rules clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation between the platform and the event organizer. The outcome depends solely on YouTube's publicly available chart data for the specified day.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to analyst forecasts for this specific event, as comprehensive public predictions for music video chart performance are not widely available. However, this market represents a collective forecast from a diverse group of traders. If analysts were to predict a certain video’s likelihood of achieving the runner-up position, comparing those probabilities to the implied probabilities visible on Kalshi could reveal interesting insights into market sentiment versus expert opinion. It's a unique way to gauge expectations surrounding this event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to news and shifts in sentiment, allowing for a dynamic and efficient price discovery process for the daily music video market.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official ranking of music videos on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated October 26, 2026. The video ranked #2 will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to see the final results and contract payouts following the official release of the chart data.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Unexpected viral trends for a particular song or artist, major marketing campaigns launched by record labels, or even significant news events impacting artist popularity could all influence trading activity. The release of new music videos from competing artists in the weeks leading up to October 26, 2026, would also be a key catalyst. Any data suggesting a shift in listener preferences or YouTube viewership could cause traders to adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.
