TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip
KAALI HOODIE (MUSIC VIDEO) SIDHU MOOSE WALA FT BOHEMIA | THE KIDD
GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION]
Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video)
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. Participants can speculate on whether particular songs or artists will secure this ranking, reflecting viewer engagement and popularity trends.
Kalshi
The event determines the runner-up position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for October 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video; resolution occurs if that video ranks exactly #2 on the specified chart for the given date. All markets operate independently, meaning the outcome for each depends solely on its respective video's performance. YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by YouTube. The focus is strictly on chart positioning, with no additional performance metrics or criteria influencing resolution.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare prediction market odds for this specific event to analyst forecasts, as comprehensive pre-event predictions for this type of daily chart ranking are not widely available. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse perspectives and can reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially offering a different view than individual expert opinions. If analysts were to publish forecasts, comparing those to the implied probabilities within this market could reveal interesting insights into differing expectations for the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence how quickly prices respond to news or changes in sentiment surrounding the daily music video chart rankings.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart ranking for Oct 20, 2026. The market will determine if Dai Dai achieved the #2 ranking on that date. The final outcome will be verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding Dai Dai’s new music releases, promotional activities, or collaborations could influence market sentiment. Changes in overall YouTube viewership trends, or the performance of competing artists, could also play a role. Unexpected viral trends or social media buzz surrounding Dai Dai’s music could quickly shift the odds. Finally, any significant changes to YouTube’s charting methodology could also impact the market as it approaches Nov 3, 2026.
