TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip
GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION]
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. Participants can speculate on the popularity and reach of various music videos, reflecting viewer engagement and trends in digital content consumption.
Kalshi
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for October 14, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The charts are published by YouTube, but the markets and products are not endorsed by YouTube, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive. Only the official YouTube chart for the specified date determines the outcome, with no consideration for ties, disputes, or subsequent chart updates.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, there are no widely available analyst forecasts specifically predicting the runner-up music video on YouTube’s Daily Top Music Videos Global chart. However, it’s common to see prediction market odds diverge from initial public opinion or polls, as traders incorporate more information and nuanced perspectives into their assessments. This market reflects the collective wisdom of informed traders, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than simple polls or pre-event speculation. It’s a unique way to gauge expectations beyond traditional media coverage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the prices of these contracts determine the implied probabilities. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief about the likelihood of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the spread between the buy and sell prices, providing insights into the market's liquidity and confidence levels. The current pricing reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which music video ranks as the runner-up on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated October 14, 2026. The final ranking will be sourced from publicly available chart data and verified for accuracy. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the verified result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected viral trends, major artist announcements, or shifts in YouTube’s algorithm could all influence the chart rankings. The release of highly anticipated music videos in the days leading up to October 14, 2026, would also be a key catalyst. Furthermore, any news regarding the popularity or promotion of specific artists or songs could drive trading activity and change the odds. Monitoring social media buzz and music industry news will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.
