TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Aathi Iva Yarraa Lyric | SCENE | Suriya | Nazriya Nazim | Naslen | Sushin Shyam | JithuMadhavan
Chalre Chalre Waal | Female Version | Tu Sanwal Phul Kasturi | Trending Songs 2026 @kunwarbrar
GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION]
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. Participants can speculate on whether particular songs or artists will secure this ranking, reflecting viewer engagement and popularity trends.
Kalshi
The event determines the runner-up position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video; resolution occurs if the designated video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. All markets operate independently, meaning the outcome for each depends solely on the performance of its respective video. None of the markets or associated products are endorsed by YouTube, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation between the platform and the event organizer. The chart data serves as the sole basis for resolution, with no additional qualifications or disqualifications applied beyond the explicit ranking requirement.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to traditional analyst forecasts for this specific event. Unlike polls or expert opinions, this market reflects a collective intelligence, where traders put their capital at risk based on their beliefs about which music video will achieve the runner-up position. The market’s price action can be seen as a real-time assessment of probabilities, potentially incorporating information that isn't readily available or considered by analysts. It’s a dynamic comparison, as the market will adjust to new information as it emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief in an outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates the liquidity and potential price impact of larger trades. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective wisdom of traders.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official ranking of music videos on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated October 11, 2026. The video ranked #2 will determine the winning outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official chart releases to understand the resolution process and ensure a clear understanding of the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Unexpected viral trends for a particular song or artist, major marketing campaigns launched by record labels, or even significant media coverage could all influence trading activity. The release of new music videos from popular artists in the weeks leading up to October 11, 2026, will likely be a key driver of price changes. Any news regarding YouTube's charting methodology or potential changes to the algorithm could also impact the market, as could the performance of videos in related charts and regional rankings.
