TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Chalre Chalre Waal | Female Version | Tu Sanwal Phul Kasturi | Trending Songs 2026 @kunwarbrar
Chalra Chalra Waal Female Version - Tu Sanwal Phul Kasturi Song ❤️ Instagram Trending song 2026
Description
This event tracks which music video will secure the second position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date in 2026. Participants speculate on the popularity and viewer engagement of various music videos to determine the runner-up. The outcome reflects audience preferences and trends in music consumption on a particular day.
Kalshi
The event determines the runner-up position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for October 10, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The rules clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive. The event focuses solely on chart ranking, with no additional performance metrics or criteria influencing the resolution.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective wisdom versus expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates an ability to synthesize information from diverse sources, potentially outperforming individual analyst predictions. However, it’s important to note that analyst forecasts can sometimes incorporate qualitative factors or insider knowledge not immediately reflected in trading activity. Discrepancies can arise due to differing interpretations of available data and varying levels of confidence in potential outcomes for the daily music video market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the probability of each music video being the runner-up. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential winner. The market’s depth and liquidity are influenced by the level of interest and available information surrounding the competing music videos.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official ranking of music videos on YouTube, identifying the video that achieves the runner-up position in daily views. The platform will verify the final results against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Unexpected viral trends, major promotional campaigns by artists, or significant media coverage of particular music videos could all influence trading activity. Furthermore, changes in YouTube’s algorithm or viewing habits could impact video rankings and shift the perceived probabilities. Any news regarding artist collaborations, music video releases, or social media engagement could also generate substantial movement in this market as traders react to new information.
