TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Richmond Tigers vs. St Kilda Saints
polymarket
kalshi

Richmond Tigers vs. St Kilda Saints

Volume:
$11,857

St Kilda Saints

 - Kalshi

St Kilda Saints - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 1:14 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

St Kilda Saints

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,182
N/A
N/A
$5,540
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Richmond Tigers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,406
N/A
N/A
$5,312
Settled
No
polymarket

Richmond Tigers vs. St Kilda Saints

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$269
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the AFL match between Richmond Tigers and St Kilda Saints scheduled for August 14 at 10:35PM ET. The markets resolve based on the official match result, with specific rules for draws, incomplete matches, and cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch: Polymarket uses team-name outcomes with explicit draw handling, while Kalshi uses binary Yes/No for win existence without draw resolution pathHero tip: Do not hedge across platforms - Polymarket requires specific team outcome while Kalshi treats any win identically. Focus on Polymarket for team-specific bets; Kalshi only for win-existence bets

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to team name if that team wins, 50-50 for draws or incomplete/cancelled matches. Key quote: "If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50"
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins, with no explicit draw handling stated. Key quote: "If Richmond Tigers wins... then the market resolves to Yes" (same for St Kilda)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the AFL match between Richmond Tigers and St Kilda Saints, scheduled for August 14 at 10:35PM ET. This market will resolve to "Richmond Tigers" if Richmond Tigers is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "St Kilda Saints" if St Kilda Saints is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the professional AFL game between St Kilda Saints and Richmond Tigers originally scheduled for August 14, 2026. If St Kilda Saints wins, the market for that team resolves to Yes. If Richmond Tigers wins, the market for that team resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, both markets resolve to 50/50. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price according to the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Richmond Tigers vs. St Kilda Saints matchup aggregates real-time data across multiple platforms, showing how traders price the chances of each team winning. It displays total volume of $11,857 and 24-hour volume of $10,657, letting you see where the market consensus sits. The view updates continuously, so you can watch how sentiment shifts before the event.

On Polymarket, this market reflects crowd-sourced sentiment through continuous price discovery, while traditional sportsbooks set their lines based on proprietary models and risk management. Prediction market odds often show tighter spreads and adjust rapidly to new information, such as player injuries or weather updates. In contrast, sportsbook lines may lag slightly but incorporate broader market factors and betting volume. The difference can be notable — for the Richmond Tigers vs. St Kilda Saints matchup, prediction markets might price in nuances faster, but sportsbooks balance their lines to ensure profitability across all outcomes.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The two platforms attract different user bases and have distinct liquidity profiles, which shapes pricing dynamics for this market. Polymarket often sees more speculative trading, leading to sharper price movements based on real-time sentiment, while Kalshi may reflect a more conservative outlook due to lower trading volume. Additionally, each platform’s fee structure and market design can influence how traders place bets, causing the odds to diverge until sufficient trading volume bridges the gap. Right now, the markets show varying levels of confidence in each team’s prospects.