TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 7:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikola Slavic and Yanis Ghazouani Durand in the Rennes, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Slavic' if Nikola Slavic advances against Yanis Ghazouani Durand. This market will resolve to 'Yanis Ghazouani Durand' if Yanis Ghazouani Durand advances against Nikola Slavic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikola Slavic and Yanis Ghazouani Durand in the Rennes, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Slavic' if Nikola Slavic advances against Yanis Ghazouani Durand. This market will resolve to 'Yanis Ghazouani Durand' if Yanis Ghazouani Durand advances against Nikola Slavic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective intelligence of traders who weigh a wider range of factors, including news, social sentiment, and potentially inside information. As a result, you may find discrepancies between the probabilities implied by this market and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the mispricing between the two.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Slavic vs Ghazouani Durand match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market is constantly updating its prediction based on the latest available data and collective insight.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Slavic vs Ghazouani Durand match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is considered correct for the purposes of settling the market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or unexpected developments in the lead-up to the match could influence trader sentiment. Public announcements about team lineups, weather conditions, or even social media discussions could also play a role. Furthermore, significant bets placed by well-informed traders could trigger price movements, as others react to their actions. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential shifts in the market's prediction.