TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés - More Markets
Volume:
$321,893
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés, a La Liga match scheduled for March 22, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET. Markets span total goals (Over/Under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5), both teams scoring, and spread outcomes (win margins of 1.5 and 2.5 goals for each team). All markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic for spread markets but differ in how they frame the outcomes. Polymarket presents spreads as binary choices between teams, while Kalshi presents them as Yes/No propositions on whether a team wins by a specific margin. Both resolve on the same underlying event (final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time from laliga.com), but the outcome presentation structure diverges.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Polymarket spreads, you are choosing between two teams; if you bet on Kalshi spreads, you are betting Yes/No on a margin threshold. The underlying resolution is identical, but the market interface and payout structure differ. Ensure you understand which platform's format matches your intended position before placing trades.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with Kalshi on resolution source and logic: Polymarket resolves all markets (O/U totals, Both Teams to Score, and spreads) based on the official final score from laliga.com after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Spread markets resolve as binary outcomes between the two teams (e.g., 'Deportivo Alavés' if they win by 2+ goals, otherwise 'RC Celta de Vigo'). Primary source is laliga.com, with fallback to credible reporting if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
- Kalshi: Aligned with Polymarket on resolution source and logic: Kalshi resolves all four spread markets based on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, using the same margin thresholds as Polymarket (1.5 and 2.5 goals for each team). However, Kalshi frames spreads as Yes/No propositions (e.g., 'If Alaves wins by more than 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes') rather than binary team outcomes. Both platforms use the same underlying event and timing.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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