This event group covers the outcome of a Danish Superliga soccer match between Randers FC and FC Fredericia scheduled for February 22, 2026. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are being tracked across platforms: Randers win, Fredericia win, or draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
The draw/tie market on Polymarket resolves YES if the game is canceled with no make-up, while Kalshi's tie market only resolves YES if the match is played and ends in a draw. This creates a scenario where the same underlying event (cancellation) produces different market outcomes.
Hero Tip:
If you hold positions on both platforms, be aware that a game cancellation will trigger opposite resolutions: Polymarket draw YES vs. Kalshi tie NO. Verify cancellation policies with each platform before settlement and monitor Superligaen.dk for any postponement or cancellation notices.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Randers win YES/NO, Fredericia win YES/NO, and Draw YES/NO. Draw market uniquely resolves YES if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. All three markets remain open if postponed until completion. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets: Randers win YES, Fredericia win YES, and Tie YES. All three resolve YES only if the match is played and the respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard market cancellation rules likely apply.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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