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Rainbow Six Siege: Team Orchid vs Elevate (BO1) - Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 2 Group Stage
polymarket
kalshi

Rainbow Six Siege: Team Orchid vs Elevate (BO1) - Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 2 Group Stage

Volume:
$5,894

Team Orchid

 - Kalshi

Team Orchid - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 10:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Team Orchid

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,848
N/A
N/A
$3,476
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$605
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Elevate

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,440
N/A
N/A
$1,178
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group refers to a Rainbow Six Siege match between Team Orchid and Elevate in the Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 2 Group Stage, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the match, with specific rules for cancellations, postponements, and incomplete matches.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch between binary outcome (Polymarket) and yes/no outcome (Kalshi)Hero tip: Do not attempt arbitrage between these markets — Polymarket's 50-50 resolution has no equivalent on Kalshi. Prefer Polymarket for full outcome coverage, Kalshi only for binary win confirmation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Team Orchid, Elevate, or 50-50 for ties/cancellations/postponements beyond deadline. Key quote: If the match is canceled or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins, with no explicit 50-50 outcome. Key quote: If Elevate wins... market resolves to Yes. If Team Orchid wins... market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Team Orchid and Elevate in the Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Orchid" if Team Orchid win the match against Elevate. This market will resolve to "Elevate" if Elevate win the match against Team Orchid. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 2 2026 match between Elevate and Team Orchid, scheduled for September 4, 2026. If Elevate wins, its market resolves to Yes; if Team Orchid wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any action, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Orchid vs Elevate match market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the chances of each outcome across platforms. It displays total volume of $5,894 and 24-hour volume of $5,872, letting you see consensus views and divergence. This centralized view helps you monitor sentiment shifts as the match approaches, with a clear focus on the Orchid vs Elevate match market.