TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Racing Club de Lens vs. Angers SCO - More Markets
Description
This event group covers a Ligue 1 match between Racing Club de Lens and Angers SCO scheduled for March 20, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET. Markets span multiple outcome categories: both teams scoring, point spreads at various thresholds (-1.5, -2.5 goals), and total goals over/under lines (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5). All markets resolve based on the final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use different spread thresholds and framing. Polymarket offers spreads at -1.5, -2.5 for each team (four separate markets), while Kalshi frames the same spreads as directional win-margin conditions (four separate markets). Both resolve on the same underlying final score from ligue1.com, but the market structures and threshold presentations differ.Hero Tip:
If you trade spreads on both platforms, note that Polymarket's 'Spread: Angers SCO (-2.5)' resolves YES only if Angers wins by 3+, while Kalshi's 'Angers wins by more than 2.5 goals' resolves YES for the same outcome. The underlying logic is identical, but Polymarket uses a binary YES/NO per spread, whereas Kalshi uses directional YES conditions. Verify your position structure matches your intended exposure.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with Kalshi on final score source and 90-minute scope: Polymarket offers four spread markets (Lens -1.5, Lens -2.5, Angers -1.5, Angers -2.5) each resolving to one team or the other based on margin thresholds. For example, 'Spread: Angers SCO (-2.5)' resolves YES if 'Angers SCO win the game by 3 or more goals,' otherwise NO to Lens. All resolve per 'official final score published on ligue1.com' within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Kalshi: Aligned with Polymarket on final score source and 90-minute scope: Kalshi offers four directional win-margin markets (Angers >1.5, Angers >2.5, Lens >2.5, Lens >1.5), each resolving YES if the named team wins by the stated margin, NO otherwise. For example, 'If Angers wins by more than 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.' All resolve per the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no extra time or penalties.
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