TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Entertainment
QRÖMELIFE: First Week Streams
kalshi

Will QRÖMELIFE streams succeed?

Volume:
$3,416

Above 50K

 - Kalshi

Above 50K - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 50K

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$745
N/A
N/A
$745
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 250K

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$659
N/A
N/A
$659
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5M

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$518
N/A
N/A
$518
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 20M

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$404
N/A
N/A
$404
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 500K

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$297
N/A
N/A
$297
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1M

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$297
N/A
N/A
$297
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 100K

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$271
N/A
N/A
$271
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2M

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
$121
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.5M

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 15M

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 7.5M

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 10M

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 35M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 25M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 30M

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the streaming performance of the song "QRÖMELIFE" by Quavo over a specific week in October 2026. It evaluates whether the song achieves various streaming milestones, providing insight into its popularity and audience engagement during that period.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple streaming thresholds for the song "QRÖMELIFE" by Quavo over the tracking week of October 02, 2026, to October 08, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific streaming milestone (ranging from above 50K streams to above 35M streams). If the song achieves or exceeds the specified threshold for any given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All outcomes are determined by data reported by Luminate’s API as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the tracking week. Luminate Data, LLC serves as the neutral metrics provider and does not endorse, verify, or participate in the prediction markets.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the QRÖMELIFE streaming market provides real-time insights into how traders are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes for the first week's streams. You can view the current odds, track the price history to understand market sentiment shifts, and monitor the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $20. The total volume traded to date is $3,416. This information helps you assess where the crowd stands on the potential success of the streams and identify opportunities based on your own analysis.

Currently, it's important to note that there are no widely available analyst forecasts specifically focused on the viewership numbers for QRÖMELIFE's first week of streaming. Therefore, a direct comparison isn't possible at this time. However, this market offers a unique perspective, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. The odds displayed represent the probability assigned by these traders, providing a data-driven alternative to subjective opinions or limited pre-launch projections. As the event approaches, observing how this market evolves can offer valuable insights.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust accordingly. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the likely outcome for the QRÖMELIFE streaming event. The current market reflects the collective assessment of all participants.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official viewership numbers for QRÖMELIFE’s first week of streaming are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of streams recorded during that period, as reported by the official QRÖMELIFE channels. The specific threshold for determining the winning outcome is defined within the market rules on Kalshi. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any associated payouts after the resolution process is complete.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding pre-launch marketing campaigns, influencer endorsements, or early reviews of the QRÖMELIFE platform could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected technical issues or delays in the launch could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, competitor announcements or shifts in the broader streaming landscape might affect perceptions of QRÖMELIFE’s potential success. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on viewership will be key to understanding how this market evolves.