TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 10:27 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Qingdao Hainiu FC and Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 5:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Qingdao Hainiu FC" if Qingdao Hainiu FC score more goals than Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Qingdao Hainiu FC and Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC" if Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC score more goals than Qingdao Hainiu FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Qingdao Hainiu FC and Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 5:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Qingdao Hainiu FC" if Qingdao Hainiu FC score more goals than Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Qingdao Hainiu FC and Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC" if Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC score more goals than Qingdao Hainiu FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds based on their risk models and profit margins, while this market reflects real-time consensus from traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. Prediction market prices often incorporate diverse information sources and trader expertise, sometimes diverging from sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value or where sharp traders disagree with conventional bookmaker pricing. Both reflect probability estimates, but their mechanisms and incentives differ fundamentally.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects its probability; as traders transact, prices adjust dynamically. Liquidity providers and traders collectively determine the odds through their buying and selling activity. Shares can be held until resolution or traded before the market closes, allowing participants to enter and exit positions flexibly based on their conviction and changing information.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during the second 45 minutes of regulation play. Early resolution may occur if the match is abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution window. Traders should monitor official match reports and sports data providers to confirm the final second-half scoreline before settlement is finalized.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly shift odds as traders reassess second-half performance potential. First-half results and momentum often influence expectations for the second period, causing repricing as the match unfolds. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and in-game events like red cards or early goals can alter perceived probabilities. Betting syndicates and sharp traders may also move the market if they detect value, reflecting new information or contrarian positioning ahead of kickoff.