TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 12:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the performance of two esports teams, Pyramid IV Esports and JSK Esports, in the first map of their League of Legends match. The outcome depends on which team secures the victory in that specific map during the scheduled competition. It reflects the strategic battles and skill demonstrations within a controlled competitive environment.
The event determines the winner of map 1 in the Arabian League 2026 League of Legends match between Pyramid IV Esports and JSK Esports, scheduled for August 5, 2026, at 12:00 PM EDT. If either team wins the map as the primary condition of their respective market, that market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, all markets resolve to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the result follows the official determination by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, the current implied probability reflects trader sentiment about the Pyramid IV vs. JSK Map 1 outcome. Sportsbook odds often incorporate additional factors such as house edges and broader public betting trends. While prediction markets may show more volatility due to smaller, faster-moving volumes of $4,905, sportsbooks typically present steadier lines aimed at broader audiences. Both sets of odds offer insight into expected outcomes, but they serve different user bases and pricing models. Comparing them can reveal gaps between crowd-sourced forecasts and traditional betting markets.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent either outcome of the Pyramid IV vs. JSK Map 1 match. The current top chance reflects the aggregated belief of participants about which team is more likely to win Map 1. With a volume of $4,953 and recent 24-hour volume of $4,905, the market demonstrates liquidity levels that influence how swiftly prices adjust. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information or shifts in trader confidence.
This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of Map 1 is determined by the esports match itself, and the platform will finalize the market based on official match records and widely accepted event coverage.
Several key developments could impact this market before it resolves on Aug 5, 2026. Performance metrics from prior maps in the match may shift expectations about Map 1 outcomes. Injuries, strategic adjustments by coaches, or even commentary from analysts can cause rapid reevaluations among traders. Additionally, any last-minute roster changes or surprising player substitutions could dramatically alter the perceived probabilities. As the event draws closer, updates from official broadcasts or social media channels may also drive volatility in this market’s pricing.