TOTAL VOLUME:

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$129,159,707

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2,388,728,490

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$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 QBR Leader
polymarket

Who will lead Pro Football QBR in Week 1?

Volume:
$3,305

Caleb Williams

 - Polymarket

Caleb Williams - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 4:13 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Caleb Williams

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$278
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Marcus Mariota

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fernando Mendoza

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kirk Cousins

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jalon Daniels

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jacoby Brissett

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kyle Allen

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Malik Willis

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Geno Smith

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cade Klubnik

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tyler Huntley

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Joe Burrow

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Joe Flacco

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Deshaun Watson

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Aaron Rodgers

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mason Rudolph

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Davis Mills

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Daniel Jones

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Quinn Ewers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cam Ward

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mitchell Trubisky

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bo Nix

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jarrett Stidham

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Patrick Mahomes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Justin Fields

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 80

Description

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the 2026-27 NFL QBR market provides real-time data on the probabilities associated with different players leading in QBR during Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL season. You’ll find the current odds, a price history chart showing how those probabilities have changed over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $2,660. The total volume for this market is $3,305. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential opportunities.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market, as prediction markets can be more responsive to new information and changing perceptions about player performance. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Polymarket often converge with sportsbook lines.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a player will lead in QBR, the higher the price of shares associated with that player will rise. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.

This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Week 1 QBR leaders are verified against credible public reporting. The player with the highest QBR, as officially recorded by ESPN, will be considered the winner. Resolution will depend on official statistics being released and publicly available. Traders should monitor official NFL data releases to stay informed about the progress towards resolution and the potential impact on this market.

Several factors could significantly impact the probabilities in this market. Major player injuries during training camp or preseason games would be a primary catalyst, potentially shifting focus to backup quarterbacks. Unexpected coaching decisions or changes in offensive schemes could also influence expectations. Furthermore, any news regarding player trades or suspensions could lead to substantial movements in the odds. Preseason performance, while not always indicative of regular season success, can also sway market sentiment and cause shifts in trading volume.