TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Major League Baseball's National League will recognize its most outstanding pitcher during the month of June, awarding the Pitcher of the Month honor to whichever eligible pitcher demonstrates the strongest overall performance during that period.
If Yoshinobu Yamamoto is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes. If Freddy Peralta is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes. If Paul Skenes is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jhoan Duran is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robbie Ray is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chris Sale is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mitch Keller is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sandy Alcantara is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes. If Eduardo Rodriguez is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tyler Glasnow is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aaron Nola is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shohei Ohtani is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zac Gallen is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes. If Edward Cabrera is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Soroka is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mason Miller is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jacob Misiorowski is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aaron Ashby is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shota Imanaga is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cristopher Sanchez is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than bookmaker pricing models. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from many participants competing for accuracy. For the National League Pitcher of the Month award, prediction market prices may react faster to mid-month performance trends, injuries, or unexpected breakout performances. Comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd believes value exists relative to professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the National League Pitcher of the Month contract is priced as a binary or multi-outcome market where each eligible pitcher has an associated contract reflecting the probability traders assign to that pitcher winning the award. Prices range from 0 to 100, where higher prices indicate greater perceived likelihood. Traders buy contracts they believe are underpriced and sell those they view as overpriced. As June progresses and pitchers' statistics accumulate, prices adjust dynamically based on trading activity and new information about performance, health, and award voting patterns.
The Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month (June) market resolves on Jul 4, 2026, after the official National League Pitcher of the Month award is announced. The outcome is determined by Major League Baseball's official designation of which pitcher receives the award for June based on their performance during that calendar month. Resolution occurs once the award is publicly confirmed and verified. Traders holding contracts on the winning pitcher receive the full payout, while all other contracts expire worthless.
Several factors can shift odds for the National League Pitcher of the Month award throughout June. Strong pitching performances, including low ERAs, high strikeout totals, and wins, will boost a pitcher's odds. Injuries or poor outings will decrease them. No-hitters, shutouts, or dominant starts generate immediate market reactions. Team success and playoff implications may influence voting patterns. Late-month surges or slumps can dramatically reshape probabilities as voters form their final impressions. Media narratives, award-voting trends from previous months, and head-to-head comparisons between top contenders all influence trader positioning and price movements.