TOTAL VOLUME:
$117b
24H VOL:
$136,514,621
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,380,975,298
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,197,935,553
342,340
Markets across
34,269
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,394
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Above $0.53
- Kalshi
Above $0.53 - Kalshi
100%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
No volume data
Aug 20
Aug 22
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Aug 25
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Aug 27
Vol.
$0.0
·
Resolves Sep 1, 2026
Time left: 04d:05h:54m
$
This event tracks the hourly computational cost of NVIDIA's A100 SXM4 processors as of a specific future date. It reflects potential shifts in hardware pricing influenced by factors like supply dynamics and technological advancements. The outcome depends solely on the recorded value at the exact expiration moment.
All markets resolve based on the hourly value of A100 SXM4 compute as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/) on August 31, 2026. Each market has a specific price threshold; if the reported value exceeds the respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Revisions to the data after the expiration date are disregarded. The USD iteration of the index is used unless otherwise specified. Should no data be available for the specified period, all markets except those labeled "No data" or "None" automatically resolve to No. All values are rounded to two decimal places before comparison.
Currently, odds from this market reflect a different outlook than many analyst forecasts. While some experts predict stability or modest changes, traders are pricing in more volatility, potentially anticipating supply constraints, new product cycles, or shifts in AI hardware demand that could push the value higher or lower before Sep 1, 2026.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of the NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute will be drawn from authoritative financial or industry sources at that time, closing all positions based on the actual market value observed.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Earnings reports from NVIDIA, new product announcements, changes in AI adoption rates, or regulatory developments around GPU usage could all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, macroeconomic factors like interest rate decisions or supply-chain updates may cause rapid repricing as the community gauges their impact on hardware pricing.