TOTAL VOLUME:

$117b

24H VOL:

$136,514,621

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,197,935,553

342,340

Markets across

34,269

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,394

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Aug 31, 2026?

Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Aug 31, 2026?

Aug 1, 2026, 8:00 PM EST - Aug 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$11,336
Volume 24h:
$1,007
33%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$8,654
0.02%

Above $0.53

 - Kalshi

Above $0.53 - Kalshi

100%

+0%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

3
2

No volume data

Aug 20

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 25

Aug 26

Aug 27

Vol.

$0.0

·

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Time left: 04d:05h:54m

Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $0.53 on Aug 31?

99%chance
Amount

$

You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Total markets: 20

Description

This event tracks the hourly computational cost of NVIDIA's A100 SXM4 processors as of a specific future date. It reflects potential shifts in hardware pricing influenced by factors like supply dynamics and technological advancements. The outcome depends solely on the recorded value at the exact expiration moment.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the hourly value of A100 SXM4 compute as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/) on August 31, 2026. Each market has a specific price threshold; if the reported value exceeds the respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Revisions to the data after the expiration date are disregarded. The USD iteration of the index is used unless otherwise specified. Should no data be available for the specified period, all markets except those labeled "No data" or "None" automatically resolve to No. All values are rounded to two decimal places before comparison.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the NVIDIA A100 price market tracks real-time odds, price trends, and 24-hour volume on Kalshi. It visualizes how traders on Kalshi are positioning around the future value of the NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute, showing shifts in sentiment and liquidity as the market evolves toward its resolution date.

Currently, odds from this market reflect a different outlook than many analyst forecasts. While some experts predict stability or modest changes, traders are pricing in more volatility, potentially anticipating supply constraints, new product cycles, or shifts in AI hardware demand that could push the value higher or lower before Sep 1, 2026.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of the NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute will be drawn from authoritative financial or industry sources at that time, closing all positions based on the actual market value observed.

Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Earnings reports from NVIDIA, new product announcements, changes in AI adoption rates, or regulatory developments around GPU usage could all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, macroeconomic factors like interest rate decisions or supply-chain updates may cause rapid repricing as the community gauges their impact on hardware pricing.