TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the potential for Post Malone to attract substantial global viewership on YouTube over a one-week period. It focuses on whether his content can surpass various view count thresholds, reflecting his popularity and audience engagement during that specific timeframe.
Kalshi
The event determines whether Post Malone achieves specified global daily view counts on YouTube within the period from September 28, 2026, to October 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, ranging from above 5 million to above 8 million views. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' Post Malone must surpass the respective threshold at least once during the specified week. View counts will be evaluated using data displayed from a New York IP address to ensure consistency. It is important to note that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube charts are used descriptively without implying any affiliation or endorsement by YouTube.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially incorporating information not readily available to analysts. If analysts predict a certain daily view count for Post Malone, the odds on Kalshi will show whether traders agree or disagree with that assessment. Discrepancies can arise from differing interpretations of data, varying risk appetites, or simply the 'wisdom of the crowd' identifying overlooked factors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own assessments of Post Malone’s potential viewership. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds reflect the most up-to-date collective prediction about the highest daily view count during the specified period.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the highest daily view count achieved by Post Malone across all official platforms (e.g., YouTube, streaming services) between September 28, 2026, and October 4, 2026. The data will be sourced from publicly available metrics and verified to ensure accuracy, establishing the winning outcome for this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any major announcements regarding Post Malone’s new music releases, tour dates, or media appearances would likely impact predicted viewership. Unexpected viral trends featuring his music could also drive up view counts. Furthermore, changes in the popularity of streaming platforms or shifts in audience demographics could influence the market. Positive or negative critical reception of new content, or even significant social media engagement, could all contribute to fluctuations in the odds on Kalshi.
