TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:44 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of Post Malone's YouTube views over the course of October 2026. It focuses on whether his videos achieve specific view count thresholds within that month, reflecting audience engagement and content popularity during that period.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for Post Malone's global daily YouTube view counts throughout October 2026, each representing a distinct performance level. All markets resolve based on whether the artist's views exceed specified numerical benchmarks—ranging from above 5 million to above 8 million—at any point during the month. View counts are sourced from YouTube Charts using a New York IP address to ensure consistent geographic measurement. While each threshold market operates independently, they collectively gauge the scale of Post Malone's audience reach, with higher thresholds indicating greater viewership success. The rules clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube are purely descriptive.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional polls or media predictions, potentially reflecting a more nuanced understanding of factors influencing Post Malone’s popularity and streaming habits. While analysts might focus on recent trends or album releases, the market incorporates a broader range of information and participant viewpoints. Discrepancies can arise from differing methodologies or biases, offering valuable insights into the potential accuracy of each approach when forecasting the highest daily view count.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the highest daily view count for Post Malone’s official music videos across major platforms (e.g., YouTube) during the entirety of October 2026 will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on publicly available data and verified against credible sources. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, reflecting the actual performance of Post Malone’s content during the specified period.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Major album releases, viral social media moments, high-profile collaborations, or even significant shifts in music streaming trends could all impact the perceived likelihood of different view count outcomes. Unexpected events, such as a major media appearance or a controversial incident, could also generate increased interest in Post Malone’s content. Changes in the competitive landscape, with the emergence of new artists or viral songs, could also influence the market, as could any announcements regarding Post Malone’s touring schedule or promotional activities.
