TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of Post Malone's YouTube views over a specific week, focusing on whether his content attracts exceptionally high daily viewership on a global scale. The outcome depends on whether his videos achieve certain view count thresholds within that timeframe.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on Post Malone achieving specified global daily YouTube view count thresholds during the period from October 12 to October 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, ranging from above 5 million to above 8 million views. The resolution uses view counts displayed from a New York IP address on YouTube Charts, with "Global" selected as the location filter. These markets are strictly for informational purposes and do not imply any endorsement or affiliation between YouTube and the platform hosting the markets. View counts are subject to variation by location, and the New York IP standardization ensures consistent measurement across all thresholds.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market can reflect a broader range of factors than traditional forecasts, incorporating real-time information and diverse perspectives. While analysts may focus on historical data and established trends, this market allows traders to weigh in on potential surprises or unforeseen events that could impact Post Malone’s viewership. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas of disagreement or uncertainty surrounding the event’s outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own assessments of the likely highest daily view count for Post Malone during the specified period. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the highest daily view count achieved by Post Malone across all relevant platforms between October 12, 2026, and October 18, 2026. The specific data source used to verify the view count will be determined by Kalshi and will be publicly available upon resolution. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the verified result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding Post Malone’s upcoming releases, promotional activities, or public appearances would likely impact his viewership. Major social media trends, viral moments, or collaborations could also drive increased interest. Unexpected events, such as significant media coverage or controversies, could also influence the market. Furthermore, changes in the popularity of the platforms where Post Malone’s content is viewed could play a role in shaping trader sentiment and, consequently, the market’s price.
