TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 3:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Portugal records 50 or more crosses in the Portugal vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Round of 32 match scheduled for July 2, 2026, 23:00 UTC, as recorded in the official FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." The number of Portugal's crosses will be determined using the "Crosses" value, found via Stats → Distribution → Crosses in the official FIFA.com match report for this specific game. This value will be taken from the match report once the match is completed. If extra time is played, crosses recorded during extra time will count. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by September 2, 2026, 12:00 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Portugal records 50 or more crosses in the Portugal vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Round of 32 match scheduled for July 2, 2026, 23:00 UTC, as recorded in the official FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." The number of Portugal's crosses will be determined using the "Crosses" value, found via Stats → Distribution → Crosses in the official FIFA.com match report for this specific game. This value will be taken from the match report once the match is completed. If extra time is played, crosses recorded during extra time will count. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by September 2, 2026, 12:00 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this market, comparing the current odds to what major sportsbooks are offering on Portugal's crossing volume can reveal whether traders are pricing in different expectations about possession, team tactics, or match flow. Prediction markets tend to be more efficient when liquidity is high and participants have strong information.
On Limitless, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers set the odds by placing bids and asks. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade and the depth of buy and sell interest at each level. As traders update their views on Portugal's likely crossing output, the price adjusts in real time. Higher prices indicate stronger confidence that the 50+ crosses threshold will be met, while lower prices suggest skepticism about reaching that volume.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the Portugal-Croatia match concludes and the final crossing count is verified against credible public sources. The outcome hinges on whether Portugal's total crosses in the match reach 50 or exceed that threshold. Official match statistics from recognized sports data providers will confirm the exact number, determining whether the YES or NO side of this market is correct. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle.
Several factors could shift odds before the match kicks off. Team news—injuries to key playmakers or fullbacks, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—can alter expectations around Portugal's crossing volume. Betting market movement and analyst commentary on both teams' styles may influence trader positioning. Weather conditions on match day, crowd atmosphere, and early match momentum once play begins can also trigger repricing. Real-time crossing tallies during the game itself will drive the most dramatic moves as traders adjust based on actual play patterns and the pace of crosses accumulating.