TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 12:39 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Damas and Hugo Dellien in the Porto, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Damas' if Miguel Damas advances against Hugo Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Miguel Damas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Damas and Hugo Dellien in the Porto, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Damas' if Miguel Damas advances against Hugo Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Miguel Damas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. Currently, the market is indicating a strong likelihood of a specific outcome, as shown by the current share prices and trading volume.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Damas vs Dellien match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome based on this official result, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match analysis from reputable tennis experts could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also shift perceptions. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket could indicate new information or a change in confidence, causing the probabilities to adjust. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential market movements.