TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Mia Pohankova in the Porto, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Timofeeva' if Maria Timofeeva advances against Mia Pohankova. This market will resolve to 'Mia Pohankova' if Mia Pohankova advances against Maria Timofeeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Mia Pohankova in the Porto, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Timofeeva' if Maria Timofeeva advances against Mia Pohankova. This market will resolve to 'Mia Pohankova' if Mia Pohankova advances against Maria Timofeeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s pricing is driven purely by supply and demand. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities of the same event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Timofeeva vs Pohankova match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the event gets, the more sensitive the price becomes to new information and trading activity. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Timofeeva vs Pohankova match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect the official winner of the match as determined by the official tournament organizers. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out based on the final share price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also cause price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will provide valuable clues about potential market movements leading up to the event’s resolution.