TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Domingues and Vadym Ursu in the Porto 2, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Domingues' if Joao Domingues advances against Vadym Ursu. This market will resolve to 'Vadym Ursu' if Vadym Ursu advances against Joao Domingues. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Domingues and Vadym Ursu in the Porto 2, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Domingues' if Joao Domingues advances against Vadym Ursu. This market will resolve to 'Vadym Ursu' if Vadym Ursu advances against Joao Domingues. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and profit margins, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it can indicate that the market believes a sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular outcome. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may reflect different information.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Joao Domingues vs Vadym Ursu match, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. This includes confirmation of the winner and the final score. The platform will then finalize the market, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding matches, or even pre-match interviews revealing a player’s strategy or confidence level, might also cause price movements. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly impact this market, as traders reassess probabilities based on broader tournament dynamics.