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404,744

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2,691

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5

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Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake
kalshi
polymarket
predict

What is the result of Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake?

Volume:
$4,092,020

Portland

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 12:45 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Portland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,099,581
N/A
N/A
$521,829
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Portland Timbers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$269,858
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Portland Timbers

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$8,854
$47,494
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Real Salt Lake

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$576
$15,919
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Salt Lake

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,088,100
N/A
N/A
$625,304
Settled
No
polymarket

Real Salt Lake

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$999,730
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$876
$8,496
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$523,255
N/A
N/A
$303,501
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,587
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the MLS soccer match between Portland Timbers and Real Salt Lake, measuring three possible results at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The aggregated consensus probability for a Portland Timbers win is currently at 65.0%, with Real Salt Lake or Draw at 33.5%. Data is drawn from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, with resolution details available on mlssoccer.com. Watch for the match result on July 25, 2026, which will determine the market outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The draw/tie market on Polymarket and Predict explicitly resolves YES if the game is canceled with no make-up. Kalshi's three outcome markets (Portland Win, Salt Lake Win, Tie) contain no cancellation clause and only reference the 90-minute result, creating ambiguity on how Kalshi handles full cancellation.Hero tip: If you are trading the draw/tie outcome, Polymarket and Predict offer explicit cancellation protection (YES resolution). Kalshi traders should confirm cancellation handling with the platform before committing capital, as the market description does not address this edge case.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket & Predict: Win/Loss markets resolve NO on cancellation with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no make-up. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to [NO for wins / YES for draw].'
  • Kalshi: Three outcome markets (Portland Win, Salt Lake Win, Tie) reference only the 90-minute result. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'If [outcome] is the result of the Portland vs Salt Lake professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.' Cancellation handling is undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between Portland Timbers and Real Salt Lake.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Portland vs Salt Lake professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 25, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each outcome—Portland win, Salt Lake win, or tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between Portland Timbers and Real Salt Lake.

Frequently asked questions

PredictionHero aggregates prediction market data on the Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake match across Polymarket and Kalshi, letting you monitor real-time odds and trading volume as the event approaches. The dashboard displays how traders across both venues are pricing the outcome, giving you a cross-platform consensus view of where the smart money stands. You can track shifts in implied probability, spot divergences between venues, and see which outcome is commanding the most trader conviction. This unified view helps you understand market sentiment without toggling between separate platforms.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Prediction market odds often reflect longer-term conviction and can diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to kickoff. Many traders use both sources to identify value: if a prediction market price differs meaningfully from a sportsbook line, it may signal an edge. Neither is inherently more accurate, but comparing them reveals where consensus breaks down.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can cause prices to diverge even when tracking the same outcome. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have different market designs—order-book depth, minimum bet sizes, and user interfaces shape how quickly prices adjust to new information. Geographic restrictions, platform reputation, and the timing of large trades can also push odds apart temporarily. These gaps typically narrow as traders arbitrage between venues, but real-time differences are normal and often reflect genuine uncertainty rather than mispricing.

Team news—injuries, roster changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly reprrice this market as traders reassess each side's chances. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage all influence sentiment and can trigger sharp moves in implied probability. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late-breaking lineup announcements often spark volatility in the final hours before kickoff. Major betting syndicates or professional traders entering the market can also shift odds quickly. Monitoring team social media, league injury reports, and sports news outlets will help you stay ahead of price-moving developments.