TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 9:11 PM EST
Kalshi
The event centers around a professional football game where two teams compete against each other. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score points in each quarter of the match during regulation time. This scenario tests the offensive capabilities of both teams throughout the entire game.
If Philadelphia and Chicago both score points in every quarter of regulation of the Philadelphia vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into public perception versus professional analysis regarding the likelihood of both teams scoring in every quarter. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the fair value. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe both teams will score in every quarter, the price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Philadelphia and Chicago teams score in each quarter of the game. Official game statistics will be used to determine if this condition is met. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions. It’s important to monitor the game closely as it progresses to understand how the outcome is unfolding and potentially impact your trading strategy.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Philadelphia or Chicago teams would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or prominent sports commentators, could impact the price as traders adjust their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring in every quarter.