TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 10:09 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Union" if Philadelphia Union score more goals than New York Red Bulls in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "New York Red Bulls" if New York Red Bulls score more goals than Philadelphia Union in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Union" if Philadelphia Union score more goals than New York Red Bulls in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "New York Red Bulls" if New York Red Bulls score more goals than Philadelphia Union in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and operate under different constraints. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one allow traders to set prices based on their genuine belief in an outcome. Prediction markets typically reflect aggregated information from many participants with real financial incentive to be accurate, which can make them competitive with or more efficient than traditional sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion and professional oddsmakers differ on this match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by all market participants; as more traders buy shares for a particular outcome, that outcome's price rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This continuous price discovery process means the market adapts in real time to new information, injuries, team news, or shifting sentiment about the second half.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual play on the field during the second half, with the result confirmed through official match records and reporting. Resolution happens after the final whistle and any necessary verification, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed to winning traders.
Several factors can shift this market significantly before kickoff and during the match. Team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements often trigger sharp price movements. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and recent form can influence trader sentiment. During the second half itself, goals, red cards, and momentum swings will drive rapid repricing as the outcome becomes clearer. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts and late-breaking roster updates may also prompt traders to adjust their positions, creating volatility in the odds.