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Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls - Halftime Result
kalshi
polymarket

What is the halftime result of Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls?

Volume:
$13,634

Draw

 - Polymarket

Draw - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 10:09 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$709
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New York Red Bulls

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,480
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Philadelphia Union

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,051
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

New York RB wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,666
N/A
N/A
$1,556
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$729
N/A
N/A
$538
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers halftime outcomes for the Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls MLS match scheduled for July 22, 2026. Polymarket offers three binary markets (Union leading, Draw, Red Bulls leading at halftime), while Kalshi offers a single market on whether either team wins by more than 1.5 goals in the first half. The core question is whether the resolution logic and scope are consistent across platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scope divergence: Polymarket covers all halftime outcomes (win/draw/loss for either team), while Kalshi covers only decisive margins exceeding 1.5 goals. The markets operate in different outcome spaces and cannot be reconciled as equivalent.Hero tip: Polymarket and Kalshi are complementary, not redundant. Polymarket captures baseline halftime result; Kalshi isolates blowout scenarios. A Polymarket Union win does not automatically resolve Kalshi Yes unless the margin exceeds 1.5 goals. Treat them as separate event definitions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets on halftime result: Union leading (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No), Red Bulls leading (Yes/No). Resolution source is official MLS statistics within 24 hours; if postponed, markets remain open; if canceled without makeup, Draw resolves Yes and team-specific markets resolve No. Scope: all possible halftime outcomes.
  • Kalshi: Single binary market: Yes if either Philadelphia or New York RB wins by more than 1.5 goals in first half. Implicitly resolves No for all outcomes with margin ≤1.5 goals (including 1-0, 1-1, 2-1, 2-0 ties, etc.). No explicit cancellation clause provided. Scope: only decisive blowout scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLS game between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Kalshi

The Philadelphia vs New York RB professional MLS soccer game is scheduled for July 22, 2026. Two separate markets assess whether Philadelphia wins the first half by more than 1.5 goals or whether New York RB wins the first half by more than 1.5 goals. Only goals scored during the first half count toward resolution. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

The MLS halftime result market aggregates predictions across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing traders to forecast which team will be leading when the first half concludes in this matchup. This market captures real-time consensus on the halftime scoreline, with pricing that reflects the collective assessment of thousands of participants. By tracking volume and odds across both venues, you can see how market sentiment evolves as kickoff approaches and live action unfolds. The dashboard consolidates these cross-platform signals into a single view, helping you identify where smart money is positioning itself ahead of the final whistle.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes through fundamentally different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines based on their risk management and profit targets, then adjust them to balance action on both sides. Prediction markets, by contrast, rely on continuous trading among participants who profit by accurately forecasting results. This often produces tighter, more efficient pricing because traders have direct financial incentive to correct mispricings. Over time, prediction market odds tend to converge toward actual probabilities, making them valuable benchmarks for comparing against sportsbook spreads and identifying potential value.

Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff—can significantly reprrice this market. Historical head-to-head performance, recent form, and home-field advantage all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and pitch quality may also sway expectations around pace and scoring likelihood. As the match begins, early action on the field will drive rapid repricing; an early goal or red card can dramatically shift halftime outcome probabilities. Monitor pre-match press conferences and team social media for last-minute roster updates that could reshape consensus odds.