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Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls?

Volume:
$566,326

Philadelphia Union

 - Polymarket

Philadelphia Union - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 10:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Philadelphia Union

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$253,621
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$57,710
N/A
N/A
$33,179
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$37,430
N/A
N/A
$19,576
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,474
N/A
N/A
$13,559
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New York Red Bulls

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100,227
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$52,674
N/A
N/A
$27,442
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,083
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,690
N/A
N/A
$7,361
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 6.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,057
N/A
N/A
$8,068
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 7.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$359
N/A
N/A
$359
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event group covers a Major League Soccer match between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls scheduled for July 22, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss) and total goals scored, with resolution based on the official 90-minute result plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on the 90-minute regulation window, official MLS as primary source, postponement handling (markets remain open), and cancellation logic (outcome markets resolve No, draw resolves Yes).Primary resolution logic: Official MLS statistics (mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores); secondary source is consensus of credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome (Philadelphia Union win, draw, New York Red Bulls win) determined by goals scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties excluded.
  • Total goals markets (Over 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) resolve Yes if the specified threshold is exceeded; resolve No if threshold is not met.
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed.
  • If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game: outcome markets (win/loss) resolve No; draw market resolves Yes; goals markets resolve No (threshold not met).
  • Official final result as declared by MLS and governing body is binding; post-resolution score revisions are not reaccounted.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed on a future date. No early resolution occurs.
  • Cancellation with no makeup: Outcome markets (Philadelphia win, New York win) resolve No. Draw market resolves Yes. Goals markets resolve No (threshold not met).
  • Source delay: If official MLS statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources.
  • Score revision after resolution: Any official score revision made after market resolution is not reaccounted; the originally declared final result stands.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official MLS statistics are the primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours, credible reporting consensus is used. Markets settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Wednesday, July 22, 2026 between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final goal count in the Philadelphia vs New York RB professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The event features tiered goal thresholds: markets resolve Yes if the combined total exceeds 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, or 4.5 goals respectively. Each threshold operates independently, allowing bettors to take positions on different scoring scenarios for the same match.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Philadelphia Union vs. Red Bulls match, allowing traders to monitor consensus odds on multiple outcomes in one place. You can track the probability of a Union victory, a Red Bulls win, a draw, and goal-based markets simultaneously. Cross-platform tracking reveals how different venues price the same event, helping you spot pricing inefficiencies and understand where the broader prediction market community leans. Real-time updates let you compare sentiment shifts as match day approaches.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader belief through open-order books. This often means prediction markets reflect sharper, less biased estimates of true probability—especially on niche or less-liquid events. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news. Comparing both sources gives you a fuller picture of where professional and crowd intelligence align or diverge on this matchup.

Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—often triggers sharp price moves. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can shift trader conviction. Major injuries announced close to kickoff typically cause the largest swings. Betting syndicate activity and sharp money flowing into one side may signal informed positioning. Social media sentiment and expert analysis can also influence retail traders. Monitor official team announcements and sports news outlets for updates that could reshape odds before the final whistle.