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410,833
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Phantom Blade Zero Metacritic score?
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Description
This event tracks the critical reception of the video game Phantom Blade Zero by measuring its Metacritic score one week after its release. The outcome depends on whether the aggregated reviewer scores meet or exceed specific thresholds, reflecting varying levels of acclaim from critics.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether the Metacritic score for Phantom Blade Zero exceeds specified thresholds seven days after the game's release at 10:00AM ET. Each market corresponds to a different score benchmark, ranging from above 10 to above 95. The resolving entity will use the first platform listed on the Metacritic page for the game if no specific platform is designated. It is important to note that neither Metacritic nor the game developers have endorsed these markets, and any references to Metacritic are purely descriptive and do not imply affiliation or endorsement. The markets are structured to allow participants to speculate on the game's critical success, with higher thresholds representing greater levels of acclaim.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to pre-release analyst forecasts for Phantom Blade Zero. While many analysts predict a strong score based on gameplay previews, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are actively putting capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies between the market price and initial analyst expectations could indicate differing levels of confidence in the game's final polish or potential for critical surprises. It’s important to remember that analyst scores are opinions, whereas this market represents financial conviction.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts at prices they deem fair. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific Metacritic score range being the final outcome. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth – the number of contracts available at each price point – indicates the level of agreement among traders about the likelihood of different score ranges. Essentially, the market price is a dynamically updated probability distribution.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Metacritic score for Phantom Blade Zero is publicly available and verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to the Metacritic score reported at the time of resolution. The final score will be sourced from Metacritic’s official website, representing the aggregated reviews from professional game critics. Traders should monitor the official Metacritic page as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the game’s critical reception.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 5, 2026. Major gameplay reveals, previews from influential critics, and any unexpected development updates from the studio could all impact trader sentiment. A particularly positive or negative review embargo lift could cause a rapid shift in prices. Furthermore, any news regarding potential delays or technical issues could also influence the market. The closer we get to the release date, the more sensitive this market will become to incoming information regarding Phantom Blade Zero’s quality and reception.
