TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Ligue 1 soccer match between Paris FC and Racing Club de Lens scheduled for February 14, 2026. The markets track the final outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Kalshi does not explicitly define cancellation outcomes, while Polymarket specifies Yes for draw cancellation but No for win-market cancellations.Hero Tip:
Monitor for cancellation risk. If the match is canceled with no makeup game, Polymarket draw markets will resolve Yes while win markets resolve No, but Kalshi's resolution is ambiguous. Hedge accordingly or seek Kalshi clarification.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Three binary markets covering all possible outcomes (tie, Paris win, Lens win) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' (and similarly for each outcome).Polymarket:
Three separate markets: draw (resolves Yes if draw or canceled), Paris FC win (resolves No if canceled), Lens win (resolves No if canceled). Postponed matches remain open. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) or 'No' (win markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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