TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Europa League soccer match between Panathinaikós AO (Greece) and Real Betis Balompié (Spain) scheduled for March 12, 2026. Markets track the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time: win for either team or a draw. Resolution depends on official match statistics from UEFA or credible reporting consensus.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms resolve on the same match outcome (90 minutes plus stoppage time) using the same primary source hierarchy (official governing body statistics, then credible reporting consensus). The three mutually exclusive outcomes are consistently defined across all markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Official UEFA statistics as the primary source; credible reporting consensus if official statistics not published within 2 hours after match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Resolution window: 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time, no penalties)
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Panathinaikós AO win, Real Betis Balompié win, or draw
- Match date: March 12, 2026
- Competition: UEFA Europa League (professional level)
- Outcome determination: Official match statistics from UEFA or consensus of credible reporting sources
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed and the final outcome is determined.
- Match Cancellation (No Makeup): If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled: Polymarket win markets (Panathinaikós, Real Betis) resolve to No; Polymarket draw market resolves to Yes. Kalshi's outcome-specific structure resolves to Yes only for the outcome that occurred (none in cancellation scenario, creating a logical edge case).
- Official Statistics Delay: If UEFA does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources (e.g., major sports news outlets, league records).
- Extra Time or Penalties: Resolution is based only on the 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution scope.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). If official statistics are not available within 2 hours, credible reporting consensus is used. Markets remain open if the match is postponed until completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.