TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 5:08 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to how much "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day second weekend (October 16 - 18) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to how much "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day second weekend (October 16 - 18) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a strong expectation that the Other Mommy box office will fall within a specific range. Comparing this to analyst forecasts, it's important to note that predictions markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, potentially incorporating a wider range of data and perspectives than a single analyst's opinion. If analysts are predicting a significantly different outcome, it could signal disagreement about factors influencing the film’s performance, such as audience reception or competition from other releases. This market provides a unique, forward-looking perspective on the film's potential success.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official second weekend box office numbers for Other Mommy are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the reported domestic box office gross for the film's second weekend in release, as reported by a widely recognized source for box office data. Traders will be able to see the final result and how their predictions aligned with the actual performance of the film at that time.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Early reviews and word-of-mouth from the first weekend’s screenings will be critical. Any significant news regarding the film’s marketing campaign, or unexpected competition from newly released movies, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, social media buzz and audience tracking data leading up to the second weekend could provide valuable insights and impact trading activity. Any major shifts in these signals could lead to substantial movement in the probabilities reflected in this market.
