TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 6:50 AM EST
Kalshi
In a Japan NPB duel between Orix Buffaloes and Saitama Seibu Lions, the focus shifts to which team achieves a more dominant victory. The game will test both teams' ability to execute strategic plays and maintain scoring advantages throughout all innings.
The market resolves based on the victory margin in the Orix Buffaloes vs Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB game scheduled for Aug 2, 2026. If the Saitama Seibu Lions win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If they win by more than 1.5 runs, the second market resolves to Yes. If the Orix Buffaloes win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes. Finally, if the Orix Buffaloes win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All markets are resolved independently according to the runs difference between the two teams at the end of the game.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that reflect the perceived likelihood of each possible run-line outcome. The current price represents a balance of all participant bets, with liquidity indicated by volume of $12,256. This decentralized pricing captures crowd wisdom without external influence.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread result will be determined by the official game statistics, closing all contracts based on the actual performance of the teams that day.
Injuries to key players, changes in pitching rotations, weather conditions, and recent performance trends can all shift trader sentiment in this market. As new information emerges, especially closer to game time, odds may fluctuate rapidly on Kalshi based on how participants interpret these developments for the teams' likely scoring margins.