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405,032

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2,690

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5

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VS.

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Orange County SC vs. Sacramento Republic FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic FC?

Volume:
$38,746

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 11:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,395
N/A
N/A
$12,839
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Orange County SC vs. Sacramento Republic FC)

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Orange County

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,459
N/A
N/A
$7,982
Settled
No
polymarket

Orange County SC

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sacramento Republic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,518
N/A
N/A
$8,166
Settled
No
polymarket

Sacramento Republic FC

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the Orange County SC vs. Sacramento Republic FC USL Championship soccer game scheduled for September 5, 2026. Markets ask whether Orange County, Sacramento Republic, or a draw will occur within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Differing resolution logic for game cancellations. Kalshi treats a cancellation as all outcomes resolving 'Yes', while Polymarket resolves win markets to 'No' and the draw market to 'Yes'.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket provides a more conservative position on win markets if the game doesn't happen.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'. Source: https://www.uslchampionship.com/
  • Kalshi: If Orange County, Sacramento Republic, or a Tie wins the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves to 'Yes'. If the game is not played, the market resolves to 'Yes' for all outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming USL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, September 5, 2026 between Orange County SC and Sacramento Republic FC.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Orange County vs Sacramento Republic USL Championship soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: Orange County win, Sacramento Republic win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as per the rules. The markets are independent of any league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Orange County SC vs. Sacramento Republic FC match outcome market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of each possible result. It displays current probabilities, volume of $38,746 and 24-hour volume of $26,973, plus any notable shifts across platforms. This gives you a live consensus view of market sentiment as the event approaches, letting you compare how Polymarket and Kalshi users are positioning on this market.

Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect a decentralized crowd of traders rather than set bookmaker margins. The implied probabilities can appear more volatile, especially with lower volume, and may incorporate unique insights or early reactions to team news. For example, a shift in lineup or weather conditions might move this market more sharply than sportsbook lines, which typically include a built-in edge for the house. Tracking both helps spot potential value gaps.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, pricing can vary due to differences in user base, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its odds toward a favored team, while the other could reflect a more global, neutral audience. Volume disparities also play a role—lower trading volume can amplify price swings, making probabilities shift more quickly with each new bet placed on this market.

Injuries, weather updates, or tactical changes announced by coaches can all shift this market close to kickoff. Key moments like a star player being ruled out or a sudden downpour that favors one team’s style may cause rapid probability adjustments. Additionally, early betting trends on either platform can influence prices, especially if volume spikes ahead of major news, making this market responsive to both on-field developments and trader sentiment.